TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
ELH: Dynamo Pardubice vs. Trinec
Description
In the upcoming ELH game, scheduled for April 26 at 11:00AM ET: If Dynamo Pardubice win, the market will resolve to "Dynamo Pardubice". If Trinec win, the market will resolve to "Trinec". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Pardubice win and Trinec win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary instrument. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive outcomes (team name resolution) which is logically consistent.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as described because there is no No outcome. Before trading, obtain clarification from Kalshi on whether this is a template error, whether draws are possible, or whether the market structure has been misstated. Polymarket's market is tradeable as written.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Pardubice win and Trinec win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No No outcome is defined. Key Quote: If HC Pardubice wins resolves to Yes; If HC Ocelari Trinec wins resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Mutually exclusive outcomes: Pardubice win resolves to Dynamo Pardubice, Trinec win resolves to Trinec. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Key Quote: If Dynamo Pardubice win, resolves to Dynamo Pardubice; If Trinec win, resolves to Trinec.
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