TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Elche CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Elche CF" if Elche CF are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Elche CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Elche CF" if Elche CF are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in Elche CF to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential outcomes, based on the actions of traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the platform will determine which team, Elche CF or Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scored the first goal in the second half of the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Elche CF or Real Sociedad de Fútbol would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements shortly before kickoff could also cause volatility. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis regarding the teams’ relative strengths could drive trading activity and alter the odds on Polymarket.