TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in an international soccer tournament. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular playing time, which includes any added stoppage time but excludes extra time or penalty kicks. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If El Salvador and Martinique both score a goal in the El Salvador vs Martinique CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook underestimates the chance of a 'yes' outcome, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome – in this case, whether both El Salvador and Martinique will score during the match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the fair probability. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both El Salvador and Martinique score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against reliable sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either El Salvador or Martinique would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a higher or lower probability of both teams scoring could influence trader behavior on Kalshi.