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406,019

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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El Salvador vs. Martinique
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of El Salvador vs. Martinique?

Volume:
$1,437,097

El Salvador

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 12:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

El Salvador

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$490,905
N/A
N/A
$277,614
Settled
Yes
polymarket

El Salvador

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Martinique

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$579,098
N/A
N/A
$386,080
Settled
No
polymarket

Martinique

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$216,733
N/A
N/A
$156,646
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (El Salvador vs. Martinique)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether El Salvador will win their soccer match against Martinique on September 25, 2026, as part of the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the aggregated probability of El Salvador winning is 99.4%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The second most likely outcome is a draw, with a 1.1% probability. Resolution will be determined by official Concacaf statistics, with fallback sources including Flashscore and Sofascore. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 25, 2026, to see if El Salvador can secure the win as heavily predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same 90+ minute timeframe and utilize similar fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official Concacaf statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team or a draw will resolve the corresponding market to 'Yes'.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, win markets resolve 'No' (Polymarket) or 'No' (Kalshi), and the draw market resolves 'Yes' (Polymarket) or 'Tie' (Kalshi).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or when official/fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between El Salvador and Martinique.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Concacaf Nations League soccer match between El Salvador and Martinique scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. This market’s pricing may differ from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.