TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between El Paso Locomotive FC and Sporting Jax, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winner in the El Paso Locomotive FC versus Sporting Jax USL Championship match scheduled for July 25, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: El Paso Locomotive FC winning by more than 2.5 goals, El Paso Locomotive FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Sporting Jax winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Sporting Jax winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique trader-driven dynamics on Kalshi. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction market odds reflect real-time bets and sentiment, which can shift more rapidly based on in-game events, injuries, or other emerging factors.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the spread outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate bets and probabilities set by users, with the odds adjusting continuously as new information emerges and trading volume changes.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential will determine which side of the spread is correct, and the market will settle accordingly based on that verified result.