TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in the same soccer match, specifically whether El Paso Locomotive FC or Oakland Roots SC wins by a sufficient number of goals. The result is determined after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event evaluates whether El Paso Locomotive FC or Oakland Roots SC achieves a win margin exceeding specified thresholds in their August 8, 2026, USL Championship match. Markets are structured around different winning margins: El Paso must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Oakland must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Resolution is based solely on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team's victory margin meets or exceeds its threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders may react faster to new information, causing odds to shift before sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing both can give insight into where public and trader sentiment diverge.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on the final score of the match and whether El Paso Locomotive FC meets the spread requirement of winning by more than 1.5 goals. Once official results are published, the market will close and payouts will be processed based on the settled outcome.
Injuries to key players, coaching changes, or recent form for either team could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Weather conditions on game day, disciplinary actions, or even early game events like a red card can also impact odds. As the match approaches, any news affecting team performance or strategy may cause rapid adjustments in pricing, reflecting updated probabilities of El Paso covering the spread.