TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 9:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The first half of the El Paso Locomotive FC versus Monterey Bay FC match will determine the winner or if the half ends in a tie. The result is based solely on goals scored within the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
If El Paso Locomotive FC is the winner of the first half in the El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. If Monterey Bay FC is the winner of the first half in the El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the first half in the El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market shows a different angle than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks might factor in broader public sentiment and house margins, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their beliefs about the first half winner. This can create price gaps, especially when sharp traders react to new data faster than sportsbook lines adjust. The current implied chance reflects real-time trader positioning, which may diverge from sportsbook favorites due to different risk dynamics and liquidity conditions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the first half winner market through continuous bidding. The top outcome’s current implied probability reflects collective expectations based on available analysis, recent team performance, and any emerging news. Volume of $4,401 over the last 24 hours shows how engaged participants are, with price shifts driven by new information or shifts in betting momentum as the match approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half is determined purely by the score at the end of the thirty-minute half, and the market settles accordingly based on official match records.
Key moments like player injuries, tactical changes, or weather updates could sway this market as Aug 6, 2026 nears. Traders will watch pre-match news, practice reports, and any shift in form or morale for both teams. Sudden shifts in betting volume or large order placements on Kalshi often signal new information entering the market. The final 24 hours typically see the most action, with odds adjusting rapidly to reflect any last-minute developments before the whistle blows.