TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine which team dominates the first half by achieving a sufficient goal-differential advantage. The contest will reveal whether either side establishes early control through superior attacking efficiency or defensive solidity within the initial 45 minutes of play.
Resolution depends solely on first-half goal differentials from the August 5, 2026 match. A team winning by more than 1.5 goals in the first half triggers a 'Yes' outcome for that specific market; all other results resolve 'No'. As with other markets, cancellation or postponement beyond 48 hours leads to fair-price resolution, and only goals scored during the first half count toward these outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely spread according to participant forecasts. The market’s probability distribution adjusts dynamically as new information emerges, such as player injuries or tactical changes, and the volume of $337 shows overall interest. Prices are updated instantly to balance buy and sell orders.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half ends and the goal difference is verifiable from credible public reporting. The spread result is determined solely by the score at halftime, regardless of what happens in the second half, and will be finalized once official match records are published.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical announcements could shift expectations for the first half and move this market. Strong recent form from either team, especially in early-match aggression, may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute lineup changes or strategic adjustments made by coaches tend to create noticeable price swings as the match approaches.