TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between El Paso Locomotive FC and Loudoun United FC. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring fair resolution if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the result of the El Paso Locomotive FC versus Loudoun United FC professional USL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for August 29, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either team wins the match within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the match ends in a tie. The market explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets for each team and the tie outcome are separate but interrelated, all referencing the same match conditions and resolution framework.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and historical trends, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes they believe are likely. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges about team performance or player injuries.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by placing bets, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s chance percentage reflects the aggregate view of all participants, and any shifts in betting volume will move those prices. Market depth and liquidity, indicated by the total volume of $38,863, also influence how prices adjust throughout the event.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match outcome, and once confirmed, all positions settle automatically according to the rules of Kalshi. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed results close to the event date.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, or weather conditions could all shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, strong recent performance by either team, coaching decisions, or even shifts in betting sentiment on Kalshi can cause price fluctuations. Traders will watch pre-match news, in-game updates, and any last-minute announcements that might affect the contest’s likely result.