TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 29,638,247
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 29,638,247 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Bad Bunny's EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO album will exceed 29.6 million worldwide streams during the May 22–28 tracking week on Luminate. Kalshi currently prices this outcome at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week. Watch the album's streaming velocity during the May 22–28 tracking period to see if it sustains the threshold needed for a Yes resolution by the June 1 deadline.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, the contract is priced as a binary outcome: will EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO by Bad Bunny exceed 29,638,247 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects trader positioning and recent volume. Prices move as new streaming data, tour announcements, or playlist updates shift market expectations. Traders buy or sell shares based on their conviction about whether the tour-related release will hit this specific streaming target during the designated week.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO by Bad Bunny during the May 22–28 period. The outcome hinges on whether total streams during that week exceed or fall short of the 29,638,247 threshold. Once the week closes and Luminate publishes final figures, the contract settles based on whether the streaming target was met.
Key catalysts include tour announcement timing, playlist additions on major streaming platforms, social media momentum, and radio or media coverage during the May 22–28 window. Release of music videos, collaborations, or surprise performances could drive listener engagement. Tour dates, ticket sales announcements, or celebrity endorsements may also influence streaming velocity. Real-time Luminate data leaks or industry reports about streaming performance could shift trader expectations as the week progresses, moving odds up or down.
