TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 27,204,048
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 27,204,048 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 2:50 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks worldwide streaming performance for the album EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO during the week of July 03-09. Resolution depends on whether the album accumulates more than 27,204,048 total streams across all platforms during this specific tracking period.
Kalshi
If EL ÚLTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO has above 27,204,048 Worldwide Streams during the July 03 - July 09, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because traders incorporate real-time information, social sentiment, and insider signals that formal analysts may lag in capturing. While entertainment analysts might rely on press releases and historical tour patterns, market participants price in breaking news, fan discussions, and platform announcements as they happen. This dynamic pricing can reveal where consensus differs from expert opinion, offering a complementary lens on the likelihood of a streaming release.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers trade shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current balance of opinion: a higher yes price signals stronger trader conviction that streaming will occur, while a lower price suggests skepticism. As new developments emerge—tour announcements, platform partnerships, or scheduling updates—the price adjusts to reflect changing probabilities.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined based on whether streaming has been confirmed through credible public sources. The resolution hinges on verifiable evidence of an official streaming release or announcement, assessed against reputable entertainment news outlets and platform confirmations. Traders should monitor tour updates and media coverage closely as the deadline approaches to anticipate how final confirmation will be established.
Key catalysts include official tour announcements, streaming platform partnerships, social media updates from the artist or promoters, and entertainment news coverage of distribution plans. Unexpected scheduling changes, platform exclusivity deals, or cancellations could trigger sharp price swings. Fan engagement metrics and ticket sales momentum may also influence trader positioning. Any credible reporting about broadcast rights or media availability will likely drive immediate repricing as participants reassess the probability of a streaming outcome.
