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399,592

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30,097

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2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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El Ahly SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of El Ahly SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC?

Volume:
$294,038

Al Ahly (EGY)

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 3:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Ahly (EGY)

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100,702
N/A
N/A
$63,126
Settled
Yes
polymarket

El Ahly SC

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Abo Qair Semads

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,891
N/A
N/A
$53,803
Settled
No
polymarket

Abo Qir Semad SC

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,278
N/A
N/A
$45,427
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (El Ahly SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC)

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether El Ahly SC will win their soccer match against Abo Qir Semad SC on September 15, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of El Ahly SC winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is the Egyptian Football Association website (https://www.efa.com.eg/). Be sure to monitor for any announcements regarding potential game cancellations, as Polymarket will resolve to “No” if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi's resolution logic is silent on the matter.Hero tip: Consider the potential for game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may not resolve as expected if the game is not played. Polymarket offers more clarity in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if El Ahly SC wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time, 'No' otherwise. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official stats are unavailable.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if either team wins or the game ends in a tie within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellation; implicitly relies on the game being played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 15, 2026 between El Ahly SC and Abo Qir Semad SC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Al Ahly (EGY) vs Abo Qair Semads professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for the Al Ahly market occurs if Al Ahly wins the match within the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Abo Qair Semads market occurs if Abo Qair Semads secures a victory under the same conditions. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score after regulation time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no regard for subsequent proceedings such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate trading activity for the Egyptian Cup market, specifically focusing on the outcome of the El Ahly SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms shows a strong expectation for a particular result, with a combined volume of $294,038. This allows traders to compare probabilities and potentially identify advantageous opportunities. The dashboard provides a unified view of sentiment, consolidating data from multiple sources to offer a comprehensive assessment of potential outcomes in this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, setting odds based on statistical models and expert analysis. In contrast, prediction markets harness the wisdom of the crowd, where participants directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. The volume of $294,038 in this market suggests active trading and potentially refined probabilities.