TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Eintracht Spandau and Anubis Gaming will compete in the second map of their League of Legends match during the EMEA Masters 2026 tournament on June 12, 2026. The winner of this individual map will determine the resolution of this market.
This market resolves based on the outcome of Map 2 in the EMEA Masters 2026 League of Legends match between Eintracht Spandau and Anubis Gaming, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The market will resolve to Yes for whichever team wins the second map of the series.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show a different probability than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed, though both aim to price the true likelihood of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the spread between them reflects uncertainty. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The midpoint price converts directly to an implied probability, so a price of 0.65 means the market estimates a 65 percent chance of that outcome. As new trades execute, the price updates in real time, allowing the market to incorporate fresh information about team form, roster changes, or strategic adjustments before the match begins.
This market resolves around Jun 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins Map 2 in the Eintracht Spandau versus Anubis Gaming contest. No ambiguity exists in the resolution criteria—the map winner is objectively observable and widely reported. Traders should monitor the event schedule to ensure they close or adjust their positions before the deadline if they wish to avoid holding exposure through resolution.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament results, and team practice footage or commentary from analysts. Map-specific meta shifts—such as balance patches or new utility strategies—can reshape expectations about which side holds an advantage. Pre-match interviews or coach statements may reveal tactical adjustments. Betting activity on external sportsbooks or social media sentiment can also signal sharp money entering the market. Watch for any updates on team form or head-to-head history that traders might use to reprice their positions.