TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets
Volume:
$640,332
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group comprises eight related markets on the Bundesliga match between Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln scheduled for April 5, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET. Markets cover total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), spread betting (goal-margin outcomes for both teams at ±1.5 and ±2.5 differentials), and both-teams-to-score. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures to represent the same underlying event. Polymarket offers Over/Under total goals markets and spread markets with binary outcomes, while Kalshi offers only conditional Yes/No markets based on margin-of-victory thresholds. Both resolve to the same official Bundesliga source, but the market mechanics and outcome paths differ.Hero Tip:
If you trade these markets across platforms, note that Polymarket's spread markets (e.g., 'Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)') resolve to a single winner based on margin, while Kalshi's equivalent markets are independent Yes/No propositions. A 2-1 Frankfurt win resolves differently on each platform: Polymarket's Frankfurt (-1.5) resolves YES, but Kalshi's 'Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5' also resolves YES — they align on outcome but differ in structure. For Over/Under markets, Polymarket offers five distinct thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) while Kalshi offers none, creating no direct arbitrage but different exposure profiles.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a comprehensive suite of Over/Under total-goals markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 thresholds), spread markets with binary outcomes (Frankfurt and Köln at -1.5 and -2.5 margins), and a Both Teams to Score market. All resolve to 'official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers' per bundesliga.com, with fallback to 'consensus of credible reporting' if Bundesliga does not publish within 2 hours. Scope: 'first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only four conditional Yes/No markets, all based on margin-of-victory thresholds: FC Köln wins by more than 2.5 goals, FC Köln wins by more than 1.5 goals, Frankfurt wins by more than 2.5 goals, and Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5 goals. No Over/Under or Both Teams to Score markets are present. Resolution source is not explicitly stated in the provided descriptions, but scope is identical: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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