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Egypt vs. Uganda
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Egypt vs Uganda?

Volume:
$189,536

Egypt

 - Kalshi

Egypt - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 12:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Egypt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,166
N/A
N/A
$40,580
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Egypt vs. Uganda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Uganda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112,172
N/A
N/A
$60,415
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Egypt and Uganda scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether Egypt or Uganda will win this professional qualifier match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Egypt wins OR Uganda wins) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi until this contradiction is resolved. The market definition appears malformed. Polymarket's binary structure (Egypt vs Uganda) is logically sound and should be the primary reference. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether this is a Yes/No market or whether the resolution criteria were incorrectly stated.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear resolution: resolves to Egypt if Egypt wins, Uganda if Uganda wins. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Resolution criteria state: 'If Egypt wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Uganda wins...then resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating logical impossibility for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 5 at 11:00AM ET: If the Egypt win, the market will resolve to "Egypt". If the Uganda win, the market will resolve to "Uganda". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The Uganda vs Egypt professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game is scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on which team wins the match. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the rescheduled date falls within two weeks of the original date. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or if rescheduling extends beyond two weeks from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect what thousands of participants actually believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust lines. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbook spreads can reveal value opportunities and signal where consensus is shifting.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform design, user base composition, and liquidity depth all influence pricing. Polymarket attracts global traders with lower barriers to entry, while Kalshi serves primarily US-based participants under different regulatory frameworks. Order flow timing, leverage availability, and fee structures create natural price gaps between venues. These spreads typically narrow as the event approaches and arbitrageurs exploit mispricings, but temporary divergences offer opportunities for traders monitoring both platforms simultaneously.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team form will drive significant price swings. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money positioning often precede major moves. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and head-to-head tactical adjustments closer to kickoff can shift trader conviction. International tournament momentum, player suspensions, and last-minute coaching decisions also influence odds. Monitoring team social media, official announcements, and betting market flow across both platforms helps you anticipate these moves before they're fully priced in.