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406,019

Markets across

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Egypt vs. Mali
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Egypt vs Mali?

Volume:
$100,789

Mali

 - Kalshi

Mali - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 12:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mali

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,851
N/A
N/A
$33,312
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,111
N/A
N/A
$17,144
Settled
No
polymarket

Egypt vs. Mali

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Egypt and Mali scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single professional basketball match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Egypt winning and Mali winning resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable settlement condition. Polymarket uses proper binary logic with distinct outcomes for each team.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken - both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution value (Yes), making it impossible to settle correctly. Polymarket's binary structure (Egypt vs Mali) is the only tradeable version of this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Proper binary resolution: Egypt victory resolves to Egypt, Mali victory resolves to Mali. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Both Mali winning AND Egypt winning are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates an impossible settlement scenario where the actual game outcome cannot be distinguished in the market resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 2 at 11:00AM ET: If the Egypt win, the market will resolve to "Egypt". If the Mali win, the market will resolve to "Mali". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the winner of the Mali vs Egypt professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi continuously adjust prices based on new information, team news, and betting flow, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic odds than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market prices tend to update faster when breaking news emerges, and they aggregate dispersed knowledge across thousands of participants. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster settlement. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal opportunities if you believe one side is mispriced.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different rule interpretations or resolution timelines, leading to divergent risk assessments. Regulatory differences and user base geography can shift how each platform's crowd weights available information. These gaps typically narrow as the event approaches, but savvy traders monitor the spread to identify arbitrage or directional conviction plays across venues.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports on star players, recent head-to-head performance, and official lineup confirmations closer to kickoff. Betting flow from sharp money or large institutional traders can also shift prices rapidly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any last-minute venue changes may influence perception of match difficulty. Media narratives around form, motivation, or tactical adjustments often trigger repricing. Monitor sports news feeds and social sentiment to stay ahead of market moves, as prediction markets reward early recognition of new information.