TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Egypt vs Angola professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game, scheduled for September 25, 2026, will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 71.0% probability to a tie, with the second most likely outcome being an Egypt win at 22.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported by the match organizers. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced on September 25, 2026, as they may signal potential strategies influencing the likelihood of a draw.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Egypt vs Angola professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Egypt market occurs if Egypt wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' for the Angola market occurs if Angola secures the victory. If the match concludes with an equal score, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals actively buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or a perceived edge. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their beliefs and adjust prices accordingly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders bid to buy and ask to sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is less probable, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Egypt vs Angola match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. The market will determine which outcome—Egypt winning, Angola winning, or a draw—is the accurate result of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Egypt or Angola would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected by expert analysis or media coverage, could drive changes in the market’s pricing.