TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Edmonton and Vancouver. It focuses on whether either team secures a decisive win by exceeding specified goal differentials. Outcomes hinge on the final score and specific conditions around game scheduling changes.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Edmonton or Vancouver wins the game scheduled for September 24, 2026, with different thresholds for each team. If Vancouver wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the relevant Vancouver markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Edmonton wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding Edmonton markets resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Edmonton vs Vancouver spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Edmonton vs Vancouver game. The resolution will be based on the point spread established at the conclusion of the game, as reported by official sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Edmonton or Vancouver teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could lead to rapid price adjustments. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role in shaping the market’s direction before Sep 25, 2026.