TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ecuador will defeat Guatemala in their international friendly soccer match. On Kalshi, Ecuador victory is priced at 99.0%, while a Guatemala victory or draw is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the match scheduled for June 7, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time without extra time or penalties. Watch the match kickoff on June 7, 2026, as the final whistle will determine settlement.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets adjust based on supply and demand from participants. For Ecuador vs Guatemala, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and faster repricing when breaking news hits, while sportsbooks may lag by minutes or hours. Tracking both sources helps you identify value and understand whether the market consensus differs from the betting industry.
On Kalshi, Ecuador vs Guatemala is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. As traders buy and sell contracts, the price adjusts in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to express your view. Kalshi's order book shows depth, letting you see how much liquidity exists at different price levels. The tighter the spread between bid and ask, the more efficient the market; wider spreads may indicate uncertainty or lower trading interest in this particular matchup.
The Ecuador vs Guatemala market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the relevant governing body. The market will settle based on which team wins or whether the match ends in a draw, depending on the specific contract terms offered on Kalshi. Once the final whistle sounds and the official result is confirmed, the contract will be marked to 100 cents for the winning outcome and 0 cents for all others. Any delays in official confirmation may postpone settlement until the result is formally announced.
Key catalysts for Ecuador vs Guatemala include team lineups, injury announcements, recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments. A star player ruled out or a surprise inclusion can shift odds significantly. Pre-match press conferences often reveal strategic hints that traders react to. Weather conditions, venue factors, and referee assignments can also influence perceived advantage. Betting syndicates and sharp money moving into one side may signal informed positioning. Social media sentiment and expert predictions can drive retail trader flow. Close to kickoff, late-breaking news about squad changes or external pressure on either team typically triggers the sharpest repricing on Kalshi.