TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on whether both Ecuador and Germany score at least one goal each during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 25, 2026. Only goals scored after halftime are counted, including own goals credited to the scoring team.
If Ecuador and Germany both score a goal in the 2nd Half of the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information across thousands of participants, often diverging meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, injury reports, and historical head-to-head data, this market prices in live trader sentiment and dynamic risk assessment. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more or less bullish on both teams scoring in the second half than expert consensus suggests. Markets tend to update faster than published forecasts when new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current balance of supply and demand; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty. Your entry price depends on the exact moment you trade and the volume available at that price level. As new information surfaces or match conditions change, traders adjust their positions, moving the market price to reflect updated probabilities.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the Ecuador vs Germany second half has concluded and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether both teams score at least one goal each during the second half only; goals from the first half do not count. Official match records and widely reported final statistics will confirm the result. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution date.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive players, which directly impact scoring likelihood. Lineup announcements and tactical shifts revealed before kickoff can shift market pricing significantly. Live match events—such as an early goal, red card, or substitution pattern—will reshape second-half expectations once play begins. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting-market movements on related props may also influence trader positioning. Unexpected team withdrawals or match postponements would trigger immediate repricing or early resolution.