TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 7:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Ecuador and Guatemala (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 7, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 7, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The Ecuador and Guatemala have 4 or more total cards market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final card count from the match between Ecuador and Guatemala. The outcome will be YES if the combined total of yellow and red cards issued to both teams reaches four or more; otherwise it resolves NO. Official match records and governing body documentation serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Several factors could shift the market probability before Jun 8, 2026. Team news—such as suspensions, injuries, or lineup changes—can alter playing style and aggression levels. Historical head-to-head card data and recent disciplinary trends for both nations provide context for trader expectations. Referee assignments and tournament rules may also influence card distribution. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting patterns from other markets can trigger repricing. As match day approaches, final team sheets and weather conditions may prompt last-minute adjustments to the probability.