TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 4:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Pak Falcon CC Vihren and MU Plovdiv scheduled for 2026-06-29 in ECS Bulgaria. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Pak Falcon CC Vihren will be considered correct if Pak Falcon CC Vihren is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to MU Plovdiv will be considered correct if MU Plovdiv is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Pak Falcon CC Vihren and MU Plovdiv scheduled for 2026-06-29 in ECS Bulgaria. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Pak Falcon CC Vihren will be considered correct if Pak Falcon CC Vihren is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to MU Plovdiv will be considered correct if MU Plovdiv is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus on actual probabilities. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants betting real capital, which can sometimes offer a more efficient price than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche events like cricket toss outcomes in regional tournaments.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each toss outcome, with the contract price reflecting the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates on an automated market maker model where prices adjust based on order flow and liquidity depth. As traders accumulate positions ahead of the match, prices shift to reflect new information and changing expectations about which team will win the toss.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the toss outcome from the Pak Falcon CC Vihren versus MU Plovdiv match is verified against credible public sources. The winning contract will be determined by the official toss result announced at the start of play. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match beginning, after the toss is conducted and confirmed by match officials or reliable cricket reporting.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news, injury updates, or lineup changes announced closer to match day may influence trader expectations about toss strategy or captain preferences. Weather forecasts, pitch reports, and venue conditions can also sway sentiment, as teams may adjust their toss approach based on conditions. Late-breaking information about player availability or tactical adjustments often triggers repricing as traders update their probability estimates.