TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between MU Plovdiv and MU Pleven scheduled for 2026-06-29 in ECS Bulgaria. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to MU Plovdiv will be considered correct if MU Plovdiv is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to MU Pleven will be considered correct if MU Pleven is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between MU Plovdiv and MU Pleven scheduled for 2026-06-29 in ECS Bulgaria. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to MU Plovdiv will be considered correct if MU Plovdiv is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to MU Pleven will be considered correct if MU Pleven is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges or major events approach. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue perceives edge relative to the other.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the cost to purchase shares reflects the current implied probability. As more capital flows into a particular outcome, its price rises and competing outcomes fall. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed and verified against credible public sources. Once the event concludes and the result is established, traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout. The resolution process is automated once the event result becomes verifiable, ensuring all positions are settled fairly and transparently based on what actually occurred.
Several factors may shift trader sentiment and move prices in this market. Team roster changes, recent form or injury updates, and public statements from coaches or players can all influence expectations. Media coverage and expert commentary may sway perception of likelihood. As the event date approaches, any breaking news—such as lineup announcements or weather conditions—could trigger sharp repricing. Early trading volume and initial price discovery often establish anchors that subsequent information either reinforces or challenges.