TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 12:54 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between EC Vitória and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between EC Vitória and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. On this market, the odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Sportsbooks typically build in a margin and may move more slowly, whereas prediction markets can react instantly to breaking news, team updates, or shifting public sentiment. This dynamic pricing can create opportunities for traders who spot discrepancies early.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each outcome, and the price of those shares reflects the collective confidence in that result. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a self-balancing mechanism that keeps the market efficient and responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is final and confirmed through established sports reporting channels, the market settles automatically and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts that affect attacking prowess. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates may also trigger repricing. Additionally, any shift in public perception or expert commentary closer to kickoff can drive meaningful swings in the odds as traders reassess their edge.