TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
EC Vitória vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets
Volume:
$1,795
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for March 22 at 5:30 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different spread thresholds and market structures. Polymarket offers spread markets at -2.5, -1.5 for each team plus multiple total goals markets, while Kalshi offers only four binary markets based on win-margin thresholds of 1.5 and 2.5 goals for each team. The underlying resolution source (cbf.com.br official final score) and scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time) are identical, but the market design and settlement outcomes diverge.Hero Tip:
If you trade spreads on Polymarket, your outcomes are granular (EC Vitória wins by 3+, 2+, or Mirassol wins by 2+, 3+). On Kalshi, you are betting on binary YES/NO outcomes for each margin threshold. A 2-goal EC Vitória win resolves YES on Kalshi's '1.5 goal' market but NO on Polymarket's '-2.5' spread. Ensure you understand which platform's structure matches your prediction before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six spread and total-goals markets with specific thresholds (EC Vitória -2.5, EC Vitória -1.5, Mirassol -1.5, Mirassol -2.5, O/U 1.5, O/U 2.5, O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5). Each market resolves to one of two outcomes based on final score from cbf.com.br. For example, 'Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)' resolves YES only if EC Vitória wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO. Resolution source is 'official final score published on cbf.com.br' with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four binary YES/NO markets based on win-margin thresholds: Vitoria wins by more than 1.5 goals, Vitoria wins by more than 2.5 goals, Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals, and Mirassol wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if the condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, NO otherwise. No explicit fallback source or total-goals markets are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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