TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between EC Vitória and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between EC Vitória and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent participants rather than reflecting a single operator's view. Comparing the two can reveal whether mainstream betting markets and decentralized traders see the same probability for this outcome, offering insight into consensus strength and potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares in the pool and adjusts dynamically as trades occur. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding shares until resolution if they believe the price undervalues the true probability. This continuous pricing model ensures the market remains responsive to new information and participant sentiment throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the EC Vitória versus CR Vasco da Gama match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once the event is officially recorded and the market closes.
Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players can shift expectations around scoring pace and likelihood. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger significant price movement as traders gain clarity on attacking formations and goalkeeper availability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day may also influence trader positioning. Additionally, any pre-match developments—such as tactical changes or unexpected roster decisions—can cause sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.