TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between EC Juventude and Ceará SC, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Juventude" if EC Juventude score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Juventude and Ceará SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than EC Juventude in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between EC Juventude and Ceará SC, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Juventude" if EC Juventude score more goals than Ceará SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Juventude and Ceará SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC score more goals than EC Juventude in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a built-in margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, are driven by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent traders believe will occur, without a house margin. Sportsbooks may offer tighter or looser lines depending on betting volume and their risk appetite. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized trader consensus align or differ on the second half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders price this market by buying and selling shares that represent YES (EC Juventude wins the second half) or NO outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate, with higher prices indicating stronger trader confidence in that outcome. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new signals. The current market price serves as the best available estimate of the second half result, since traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately or profit from mispricings.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the second half of the EC Juventude vs. Ceará SC match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether EC Juventude scores more goals than Ceará SC during the second half period. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official match records are confirmed. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact timing may shift slightly if the match is delayed or rescheduled.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jun 28, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price moves. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if EC Juventude dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may bid up second-half odds higher. Momentum, fatigue levels, and tactical adjustments made at halftime all influence trader expectations. Weather conditions or pitch quality could affect play style. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and betting action on related markets may also sway prices. Real-time match events during the first half will likely be the strongest driver of repricing before the second half begins.