TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between EC Juventude and Ceará SC, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Juventude" if EC Juventude are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between EC Juventude and Ceará SC, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Juventude" if EC Juventude are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ceará SC" if Ceará SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks manage risk and margins through their pricing, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs from many participants. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in factors—team form, injuries, or tactical shifts—that bookmakers may have overlooked or weighted differently.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through continuous order matching, with the current market probability reflecting the balance of buy and sell orders at any moment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the marginal trader's belief about which team will score first, and large trades can shift the odds significantly. Liquidity depth and recent trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or breaking news about team lineups and conditions.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the event result. Whichever team scores the opening goal determines the winning outcome, and resolution typically occurs shortly after the final whistle or once official match records are published by the league or relevant sporting authorities.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or managerial changes that affect attacking capability or defensive stability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations. Betting market moves at traditional sportsbooks, social media sentiment, and expert analysis published closer to kickoff may also influence how traders reassess the probability of each team scoring first, causing price swings in this market.