TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and SC Corinthians Paulista, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia score more goals than SC Corinthians Paulista in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Bahia and SC Corinthians Paulista score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Corinthians Paulista" if SC Corinthians Paulista score more goals than EC Bahia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and SC Corinthians Paulista, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia score more goals than SC Corinthians Paulista in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Bahia and SC Corinthians Paulista score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Corinthians Paulista" if SC Corinthians Paulista score more goals than EC Bahia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket derive prices from continuous trader supply and demand. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. For this market, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether bettors and traders are aligned on the second-half outcome or if one venue sees value the other has missed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) model where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as traders place orders, the price adjusts algorithmically to balance supply and demand. Polymarket's transparent, on-chain pricing means you can see exactly how much it costs to move the odds in either direction. This continuous pricing mechanism allows real-time discovery of the market's consensus on the second-half result.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official confirmation of the result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the event result is confirmed.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before Jul 26, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp moves as traders reassess each side's second-half prospects. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one outcome can signal informed conviction and move the market. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media coverage highlighting tactical mismatches may also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue factors, and first-half momentum could prompt late repricing as the match approaches. Watch for sudden volume spikes, which often precede significant price moves in this market.