TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia score more goals than Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Bahia and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score more goals than EC Bahia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia score more goals than Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Bahia and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score more goals than EC Bahia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, depending on whether traders here perceive an edge that bookmakers have priced differently. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of outcome shares through an automated market maker, with each contract representing a claim on the second half result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or events.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Bahia versus Chapecoense match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team scored more goals in the second half, or whether the teams remained level. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official confirmation, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning positions.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff, which can shift expectations about either side's attacking or defensive capability. First half performance matters significantly—if one team dominates early, traders may reprice the second half odds based on fatigue, momentum, or tactical adjustments. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent head-to-head form can also influence how traders position themselves. Breaking developments on social media or official team channels often trigger sharp moves in this market.