TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Washington in their college football game against Eastern Washington. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively Washington might win.
All markets resolve based on Washington's point differential in the college football game against Eastern Washington scheduled for September 19, 2026. For any market, if Washington wins by exceeding the specified point spread, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate information from a diverse group of participants. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when analyzing this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Washington vs Eastern Washington spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for each possible spread, and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the game between Washington and Eastern Washington will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the official result reported by a trusted source for college football scores. Traders will receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread at the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or Eastern Washington teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' strengths and weaknesses could drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are also potential catalysts.