TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must score for the market to settle in a specific way. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific rules for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the official points scored by each team in the Eastern Michigan vs Wisconsin college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores above the stated threshold (e.g., Wisconsin over 13.5 points, Eastern Michigan over 2.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and the market maker facilitates these transactions, ensuring there's always a buyer and a seller available. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Eastern Michigan and Wisconsin will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the specified thresholds offered in the market contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in team performance could all lead to price movements. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching strategies could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential market movements.