TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in a college football game between Eastern Michigan and Michigan State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the game might be.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Eastern Michigan and Michigan State in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold, ranging from over 31.5 points to over 73.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have bet on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price levels, giving an indication of the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total points scored in the Eastern Michigan versus Michigan State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct total points range will pay out. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution. It is important to monitor the game and official results as they become available to understand the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries for either Eastern Michigan or Michigan State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant public information regarding the teams’ offensive or defensive capabilities could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.