TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored exclusively in the final quarter of a college football matchup, with various thresholds determining possible outcomes. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that must be achieved by both teams combined during that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the fourth quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods, in the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined fourth-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during regulation fourth-quarter play count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the game progresses, the prediction market odds may converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the market’s threshold. The final point total will be sourced from official sports data providers and will be publicly available following the game’s completion, providing a transparent and verifiable result for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing or running game. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game performance shifts could also drive price fluctuations. Any news regarding team morale or strategic adjustments could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals leading up to and during the game is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.