TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential specifically within the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different threshold for how much one team might outscore the other during that single quarter, allowing participants to assess potential momentum shifts or dominant performances in a confined timeframe.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin—for example, if Michigan State scores at least 10.5 more points than Eastern Michigan in that quarter, the market resolving to 'Yes' for that specific threshold is triggered. Conversely, if Eastern Michigan achieves the required point differential, the corresponding market for their victory resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows individuals to weigh in with their own assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. These differences can arise from varying levels of public information or differing interpretations of key factors influencing the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants on Kalshi regarding the final point spread in the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 3rd quarter of the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. All contracts will be settled based on this verified result, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 12, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any public statements from key players or analysts might influence predictions. Shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, while not directly reflected here, could also indirectly impact trading activity in this market.