TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Bettors can assess how dominant either team might be in that specific quarter, reflecting potential momentum shifts or strategic adjustments.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for either team winning the quarter by more than that margin. If Michigan State wins the second quarter by exceeding any of the specified thresholds (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points), the respective 'Yes' outcome for that threshold resolves. Conversely, if Eastern Michigan wins the quarter by exceeding any of the designated margins (2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official second-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, considering all available information up to that point. The outcome depends exclusively on second-quarter performance, with no consideration given to other quarters or the final game result.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of the outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Michigan State will cover the spread in the second quarter. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds constantly adjust based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of all participants. The current price indicates the market's consensus probability of the outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-quarter spread of the Eastern Michigan versus Michigan State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics published by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine whether Michigan State covers the spread as defined by the contract terms at the time of trading. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game's style. Unexpected lineup changes or shifts in coaching strategy could also affect trader sentiment. Public perception, driven by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trader decisions. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the odds before Sep 12, 2026.