TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team must achieve to satisfy the condition. The resolution depends solely on the points scored during the first quarter of play.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Eastern Michigan vs Michigan St. college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets where Michigan St. must win by a specified margin (e.g., over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Michigan St. achieves that margin in the first quarter. Conversely, for markets where Eastern Michigan must win by a specified margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Eastern Michigan achieves that margin in the first quarter. All markets consider only points scored during the first quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their own predictions. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, such as injury reports or weather forecasts. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants and the incentive structure of each venue. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Eastern Michigan versus Michigan State football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Eastern Michigan or Michigan State would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news about team strategies could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and move the price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.