TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 9:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Eastern Illinois and Minnesota. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether Minnesota, Eastern Illinois, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 3, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. The event encompasses three possible outcomes: Minnesota scores first, Eastern Illinois scores first, or no team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating sharper insights and real-time trading activity. While sportsbooks may offer a spread or money line, the prediction market lets traders bet directly on the probability of Eastern Illinois or Minnesota scoring the first touchdown, sometimes showing divergence from mainstream betting trends.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective wisdom of participants. The implied probability for each team to score the first touchdown is displayed as a percentage, and volume of $1,058 shows overall interest. Prices can shift rapidly as new game-day analysis, injury reports, or weather updates emerge.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Whichever team crosses the goal line first in the actual game determines the winner, and the market settles accordingly based on official game results and broadcast records.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute injury updates to star players, weather forecasts affecting playing conditions, and strategic commentary from coaches that hint at offensive priorities. Any sudden change in team lineups or game plan philosophy may also cause traders to re-evaluate the odds, especially as kickoff approaches.