TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively one team might lead at halftime in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team during the first half to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between East Carolina and Old Dominion in the first half of their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual first-half result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of East Carolina covering the spread in the first half. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first half of the East Carolina vs Old Dominion game will be used to determine whether East Carolina covered the spread, or if Old Dominion won or kept the game within the spread. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the East Carolina or Old Dominion team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could also drive price changes as they react to new information or adjust their positions.