TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring thresholds for both teams in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the likelihood of specific point totals being exceeded by either team.
The event evaluates multiple scoring thresholds for both Alabama and East Carolina in their college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct point total that a team must exceed for the corresponding market to resolve as 'Yes'. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final official score. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have bet on. This structure allows bettors to assess varying levels of scoring probability for both teams.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are not guarantees of the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set in advance and do not change based on market activity.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the East Carolina vs Alabama game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the governing body of college football. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. No further action is required from market participants after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either East Carolina or Alabama would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also move the market. Finally, any significant public information, such as expert analysis or betting trends, could influence trader behavior and therefore the prices observed on Kalshi.