TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory specifically within the final quarter of a college football game, isolating performance metrics to the last period of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the East Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the specified team's 4th quarter point margin exceeds the threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. No overtime points factor into any resolution calculations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market’s price is determined by the collective predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in. Over time, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, driving the price towards a fair representation of the event's likelihood. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price dynamically adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the Alabama vs East Carolina spread.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the fourth quarter of the East Carolina versus Alabama football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or East Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can create momentum and move the price in a particular direction.