TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the point differential during the third quarter of a college football game between East Carolina and Alabama. Each market evaluates whether one team achieves a specific margin of victory during that quarter, providing granular insights into potential scoring dynamics.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the East Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No broader game outcomes or other quarters influence these determinations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and represent probabilities of future outcomes, while sportsbook odds are often adjusted based on betting action.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants regarding the likely outcome of the third quarter spread between Alabama and East Carolina.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the third quarter of the East Carolina vs Alabama football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or East Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can shift the price, as can updates from analysts or public polls regarding the expected game outcome. Unexpected coaching decisions or pre-game reports could also contribute to price fluctuations.