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Closed: Sep 5, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points are scored in a specific quarter of a college football game between East Carolina and Alabama. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored in the second quarter, determining whether the outcome meets or exceeds that threshold.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the East Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points scored in the 2nd quarter falling at or below that value. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher score, the price increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades earn them money.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second quarter of the East Carolina vs Alabama game will be used to determine whether contracts settle above or below the contract price. Successful traders will receive a payout based on the difference between the contract price and the actual outcome, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either East Carolina or Alabama would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any unexpected shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive price fluctuations in this market. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives, will also have an immediate effect.