TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential between East Carolina and Alabama specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the East Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders seek to profit from price variations between the two types of markets. However, it’s important to remember that both are probabilistic forecasts, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the second quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second quarter spread of the East Carolina vs Alabama football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or East Carolina teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, could influence trading activity on Kalshi. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.