TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game between East Carolina and Alabama. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that half to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of the East Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team for a 'Yes' resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the second half. It’s important to remember that prediction markets are dynamic and can shift rapidly as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall in that range. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential outcome. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the East Carolina vs Alabama game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the East Carolina or Alabama teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, in-game performance during the first half, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaching staffs, could lead to adjustments in the perceived likelihood of different point spreads and therefore impact the price of contracts in this market.