TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Dzmitry Asanau will defeat Roger Gutierrez in their scheduled boxing match. On Kalshi, Asanau is priced at 83.0% to win, while Gutierrez stands at 15.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the bout as determined by the sanctioning body. Watch for the June 4, 2026 fight date to see whether Asanau can secure victory against Gutierrez.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader consensus and often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants with direct financial incentive to be accurate. The Kalshi market for this fight may price Dzmitry Asanau or Roger Gutierrez differently than major sportsbooks, depending on which venue attracts sharper or more specialized fight analysis. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with bookmaker consensus, though both sources provide valuable reference points for evaluating fight probabilities.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the fight concludes. The outcome is determined by the official result of the Dzmitry Asanau vs Roger Gutierrez bout. Resolution depends on how the fight ends—whether by decision, knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, or other official ruling. Kalshi will settle the contract based on the authoritative fight result from the sanctioning body and promotion. Traders should monitor official announcements and fight coverage to stay informed about any delays, rule changes, or circumstances that might affect how the market ultimately resolves.
Several factors could shift the Dzmitry Asanau vs Roger Gutierrez market price before Jun 5, 2026. Fighter injury reports or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Recent fight footage, training camp updates, or analyst commentary on either fighter's form could sway trader sentiment. Weight-cut issues, rule changes, or venue/date adjustments would also move odds. Bookmaker line movements often precede prediction market shifts, so monitoring sportsbook action provides an early signal. Betting volume spikes on Kalshi can indicate new information entering the market. Close to fight day, weigh-in results and last-minute fighter statements typically drive final price adjustments as traders refine their edge.