TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Dutch Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
polymarket
kalshi

Dutch Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

Volume:
$311,538

Lando Norris

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lando Norris

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,288
N/A
N/A
$31,829
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lando Norris

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kimi Antonelli

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

George Russell

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Russell

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,439
N/A
N/A
$37,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,551
N/A
N/A
$24,751
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,898
N/A
N/A
$17,698
Settled
No
polymarket

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Verstappen

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,341
N/A
N/A
$18,368
Settled
No
polymarket

Max Verstappen

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,187
N/A
N/A
$14,603
Settled
No
polymarket

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,747
N/A
N/A
$15,165
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
No
polymarket

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$918
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Esteban Ocon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
polymarket

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabriel Bortoleto

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This group of markets focuses on predicting whether specific Formula 1 drivers will achieve a podium finish (top three positions) in the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix, as well as whether certain drivers will secure the fastest lap time in qualifying.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets on Polymarket resolve based on race results (podium finish), while the markets on Kalshi resolve based on qualifying results (fastest lap in Q3). This represents a fundamental divergence in settlement criteria.Hero tip: Traders should treat these as separate markets with distinct outcomes. A driver can finish on the podium without setting the fastest qualifying lap, and vice versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the FIA's official Final Classification to determine if a driver finishes in the top three positions in the race. 'Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on whether a driver sets the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Q3 session that determines the starting grid for the main race. Each market is triggered by a specific driver setting that fastest lap.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Dutch Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Dutch Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time during the Q3 qualifying session of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification. If qualifying does not progress to Q3 due to weather, red flags, or format changes, Pole Position will be awarded based on the FIA’s official qualifying results for that event. Pole Position is determined exclusively by the official Final Qualifying Classification and is unaffected by subsequent grid penalties, starting-order adjustments, or sprint race qualifying sessions. Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified driver achieves this fastest lap time.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Dutch GP podium market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and volume trends. It tracks how traders across platforms price the likelihood of drivers finishing in the top three positions. With a total volume of $311,538 and 24-hour volume at $271,596, it reflects market activity and sentiment toward potential podium contenders.