TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Dutch Grand Prix: Biggest Mover
kalshi

Dutch Grand Prix: Biggest Mover

Volume:
$17,524

Fernando Alonso

 - Kalshi

Fernando Alonso - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 2:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,826
N/A
N/A
$2,128
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Verstappen

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,959
N/A
N/A
$2,672
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,854
N/A
N/A
$2,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,786
N/A
N/A
$1,924
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$814
N/A
N/A
$549
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Perez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$643
Settled
No
kalshi

Franco Colapinto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Stroll

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$565
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Lawson

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$507
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
$439
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
$368
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Lando Norris

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

George Russell

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This market determines which driver achieves the greatest improvement in position from their starting grid spot to their final race result at a specific event. It focuses on measuring performance gains over the course of the race, highlighting drivers who manage significant climbs up the leaderboard.

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether a specified driver achieves the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and finishing position in the main race. To qualify, a driver must have both an official starting grid position and an official classified finishing position. If a driver fails to qualify, participates but does not finish without a classified position, is disqualified, or does not start (DNS), the market resolves as 'No'. Drivers who start from the pit lane have their starting position defined as one place behind the last regularly gridded driver unless a specific numeric position is officially published. If the race is postponed within 48 hours of its original schedule, the market remains open and resolves based on the rescheduled race. If the race is canceled outright or rescheduled more than 48 hours from the original time, all contracts settle at a fair price. In the event of a tie for the largest position differential among multiple drivers, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied drivers (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay one minus the 'Yes' payout. Official ties in grid or finish positions retain the tied position number for affected drivers, with the next position skipping ahead accordingly.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Dutch GP biggest mover market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume for bets on which driver will achieve the largest position gain during the race. It shows how traders are positioning themselves as the event unfolds, with updates reflecting market sentiment and betting activity. The interface displays current probabilities for each contender, historical price trends, and $11,259 in trading volume, giving users a clear view of market dynamics leading up to the resolution date.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The biggest mover is determined by comparing each driver’s starting grid position to their final classified position, with the largest positive difference deciding the result. Traders can watch for official race results and post-event analyses to confirm the settlement.

Key signals include practice session times, qualifying performance, grid penalties, weather forecasts, and mid-race strategy calls — all of which can dramatically shift a driver’s potential for a large gain or loss in positions. Any last-minute driver changes or safety car scenarios could also reshape trader expectations before the checkered flag.