TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory during regular time. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential, providing insight into potential dominance in the game.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Dusseldorf vs Freiburg professional DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct outcomes are possible: Dusseldorf winning by more than 2.5 goals, Dusseldorf winning by more than 1.5 goals, Freiburg winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Freiburg winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each primary rule defines a specific threshold for victory margins that, if met by the respective team, resolves the corresponding market to 'Yes.' The event exclusively assesses results from regulation time, with all secondary rules clarifying that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league or any team involved, and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook that incorporates a wider range of trader perspectives. While sportsbooks may lean on expert analysis and historical trends, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from participants who can react instantly to new information, potentially creating tighter spreads or sharper movements.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point difference recorded at the end of regulation time will determine which side of the spread is correct, closing the market based on official match results.
Injuries, lineup changes, or weather updates could shift expectations for team performance and directly impact this market. Key moments like red cards, momentum swings, or tactical adjustments may also cause rapid re-pricing. As Aug 23, 2026 approaches, betting trends, expert analysis, and crowd-sourced sentiment on Kalshi will amplify volatility. Any last-minute news affecting either team’s readiness or strategy has the potential to reshape trader outlooks and move probabilities substantially before the final whistle.