TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dusseldorf and Duisburg in Germany's 3. Liga. Bettors can speculate on whether Dusseldorf, Duisburg, or neither team (a tie) will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the result within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Dusseldorf vs Duisburg professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Dusseldorf wins, the 'Dusseldorf' market resolves to Yes. If Duisburg wins, the 'Duisburg' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into how the event is viewed by different groups, and potentially identify opportunities for informed trading. However, it is important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Dusseldorf vs Duisburg match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences. The market depth and spread can indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential result, and the volume traded provides insight into the market's activity.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Dusseldorf vs Duisburg match, as reported by official sports authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and be prepared for a swift resolution once the final result is declared. The platform will then distribute payouts based on the final outcome and the contracts held by each trader.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also drive price changes. Major tactical announcements from either team, or even unexpected pre-match commentary, could also serve as catalysts. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for making informed trading decisions in this market.